Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 278.145911 314.354527 354.618430 402.914453 459.536529 524.137473 603.877386
2025-06-01 222.711227 269.738967 326.738736 401.716204 498.946853 622.453248 793.945387
2025-06-08 189.065653 239.333444 303.755477 393.867481 519.099541 690.756328 950.677599
2025-06-15 168.419382 220.829978 291.079931 394.428663 546.646822 769.414190 1133.645299
2025-06-22 149.736558 201.901464 274.382817 385.492049 557.228355 822.912511 1287.333420
2025-06-29 136.919313 189.293955 264.462748 384.104549 577.499165 892.825068 1480.868639
2025-07-06 122.504647 172.717317 246.647811 367.902320 571.139146 917.149270 1598.485837
2025-07-13 117.650176 169.659106 248.534131 382.528156 617.002246 1037.585033 1923.266062
2025-07-20 113.763377 167.573173 251.496893 398.953170 668.017771 1176.231606 2321.796494
2025-07-27 107.458781 161.057959 246.600820 401.172813 693.349686 1270.181959 2650.269301
2025-08-03 99.640868 151.434189 235.643275 391.311764 694.220247 1314.703251 2876.354684
2025-08-10 92.987427 143.181056 226.229021 383.109822 696.988091 1363.381087 3126.679037
2025-08-17 90.064110 141.032985 227.293121 394.909986 742.805854 1517.678556 3713.172982
2025-08-24 85.322628 135.445835 221.854460 393.709350 761.469581 1614.441481 4178.389335
2025-08-31 80.110874 128.646190 213.634952 386.052828 764.860867 1675.064701 4558.819091
2025-09-07 76.523087 124.424117 209.735563 386.600336 786.625989 1786.511470 5149.993987
2025-09-14 72.035502 118.286202 201.773489 377.880315 785.625005 1838.166774 5559.676804
2025-09-21 68.848546 114.284030 197.525992 376.526343 801.981458 1941.070731 6207.103844
2025-09-28 64.188620 107.299953 187.050026 360.713604 780.678582 1932.729825 6418.683830
2025-10-05 63.332976 107.298765 190.147089 374.988010 837.255358 2167.476884 7768.672991
2025-10-12 62.667230 107.596537 193.838922 391.014766 901.310665 2444.350385 9506.461302
2025-10-19 60.597965 105.076006 191.631978 393.180304 928.478077 2609.873668 10827.262327
2025-10-26 57.520295 100.426611 184.727013 383.559107 921.394926 2657.293939 11556.534013